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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.43+1.56vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.26+1.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+1.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-0.07vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+0.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-1.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.37+0.48vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.97-1.21vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-1.45-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Columbia University0.4332.4%1st Place
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3.59Fordham University-0.2616.8%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7110.9%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.4514.3%1st Place
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5.46SUNY Stony Brook-1.306.7%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.878.2%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Military Academy-2.372.4%1st Place
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6.79Syracuse University-1.973.3%1st Place
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5.87Hamilton College-1.455.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 32.4% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Upton | 16.8% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Dimont | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 7.7% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 48.9% |
| Heath Megnin | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 24.3% | 26.2% |
| Reid Chapman | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.