Race 6A

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Black 7.4% 9.1% 8.2% 9.9% 10.0% 10.5% 12.4% 11.1% 9.2% 6.7% 5.5%
Christopher Poole 20.0% 18.0% 14.6% 13.4% 11.2% 8.1% 6.8% 4.4% 1.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Neal Drake 6.3% 6.8% 8.1% 7.1% 9.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.7% 10.2% 12.3% 9.5%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 8.0% 9.3% 11.3% 12.4% 13.8% 17.7%
Sean Andrew 15.2% 14.1% 13.5% 11.5% 10.1% 10.7% 8.3% 5.6% 5.4% 3.9% 1.7%
Alejandro Bancalari 9.1% 10.3% 9.6% 11.6% 10.4% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 7.8% 7.4% 4.6%
Nicholas Dragone 7.8% 8.0% 7.9% 9.5% 11.4% 10.8% 8.4% 10.1% 10.6% 7.9% 7.6%
Tommy Holmberg 13.6% 13.0% 15.6% 11.6% 10.6% 8.0% 8.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.5% 1.8%
Andrea Verdeja 4.8% 4.8% 4.3% 5.9% 6.8% 7.3% 8.7% 8.8% 13.1% 16.0% 19.5%
Molly Haley 6.4% 5.0% 6.8% 6.1% 7.5% 8.7% 8.2% 10.5% 11.6% 14.2% 15.0%
Wesley Yland 5.0% 6.1% 5.4% 7.4% 6.7% 8.1% 9.1% 9.5% 12.0% 14.0% 16.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.