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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+5.27vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.73+10.24vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+7.64vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+4.15vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+2.60vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+5.13vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+3.55vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.26+4.32vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51+2.27vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.72vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.04-1.73vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.30-4.44vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-5.50vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-4.38vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.37+1.54vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.43vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont1.97-7.92vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island2.36-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.64Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.6George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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13.27Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.27Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.56Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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18.54University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Macey McCann | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 70.8% |
| Brittney Slook | 5.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Annie Spence | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.