← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.09+5.30vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.97+9.22vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.04+7.98vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.62+4.24vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.50+3.72vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.76+1.65vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.80vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.16+2.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.30vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.00vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin1.26+3.24vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.11-1.21vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.86-0.94vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.73-1.74vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.51-1.90vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.54vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.65-9.06vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.45vs Predicted
-
19University of Maryland-0.37-0.45vs Predicted
-
20Brown University2.30-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.3College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
11.22University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
-
10.98Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
-
8.24Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
8.72Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.65George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
-
10.02University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
9.3University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
-
14.24University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.79Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.06Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
12.26Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
13.1Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.94Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.55U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
18.55University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.81Brown University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Annie Spence | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Macey McCann | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 7.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 5.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 71.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.