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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+8.41vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+8.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+6.43vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.43vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.97+6.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.28vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73+5.26vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-0.20vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.51+3.81vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-1.44vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-0.50vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.04-0.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-1.62vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-5.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.66vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-1.95vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.50-8.30vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-7.18vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.30-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.26Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.81Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.5Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.18Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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14.05University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Annie Spence | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Paris Henken | 13.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Riley Legault | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 15.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Macey McCann | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 25.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.