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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+10.61vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+7.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+4.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.26+7.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+1.58vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-0.47vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-0.46vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51+2.18vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-4.20vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.73-1.06vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.09-7.67vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.62-6.87vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.97-4.97vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.04-6.20vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-7.18vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.61Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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10.61Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.11University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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14.17University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.54Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.18Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.94Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.33College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.13Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.8Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 24.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 16.9% |
| Riley Legault | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Paris Henken | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% |
| Annie Spence | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Macey McCann | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.