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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.50+7.59vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+7.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+7.48vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.61vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.26+7.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+2.37vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.97+0.95vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73+1.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.34vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.92vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-5.80vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.04-4.40vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-4.58vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-7.79vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.51-5.07vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.30-9.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.32George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.48Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.1University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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10.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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12.19Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.93Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% |
| Paris Henken | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 25.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Annie Spence | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Macey McCann | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.