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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.04+9.74vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+6.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+5.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+3.86vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+4.05vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.26+6.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.85vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-0.66vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.32vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-5.17vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-4.13vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.73-4.01vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-6.21vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.51-5.09vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.30-9.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.74Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.2College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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14.16University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.34Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.69Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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11.99Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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12.91Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.1Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey McCann | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Paris Henken | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 26.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% |
| Annie Spence | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.