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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.50+7.66vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+8.18vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+3.87vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.04+4.63vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+3.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.60vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.97vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62-2.05vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-1.81vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.26+2.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.96vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-4.09vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-4.64vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.73-4.95vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.51-5.10vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.30-9.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.18University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.63Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.46Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.95Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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11.36Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.05Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.9Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.09Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Macey McCann | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Paris Henken | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 25.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Annie Spence | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.