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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+9.92vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.97+9.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+5.43vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+6.20vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+4.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.30vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.62+0.36vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.60vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.04+0.57vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-4.93vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11-1.26vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.73-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.26+0.19vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-6.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-4.59vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-7.65vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.51-5.12vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.30-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.52George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.57Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.07College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.74Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.78Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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12.88Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.06Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria Kevliciute | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Macey McCann | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Paris Henken | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 25.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.