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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tommy Holmberg 10.5% 13.8% 12.3% 11.5% 13.1% 11.1% 10.1% 7.3% 5.6% 3.2% 1.5%
Christopher Poole 21.1% 18.1% 14.6% 11.1% 10.1% 10.5% 5.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Neal Drake 6.3% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.6% 11.4% 10.3% 10.5% 11.8% 9.8%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.2% 4.8% 6.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 9.3% 11.7% 12.6% 13.4% 18.5%
Tyler Black 9.5% 9.4% 9.7% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 10.6% 10.1% 8.2% 8.5% 5.9%
Sean Andrew 13.8% 14.4% 12.9% 11.6% 11.5% 10.2% 9.3% 6.1% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9%
Molly Haley 6.1% 5.6% 5.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 9.0% 10.3% 12.2% 12.2% 15.0%
Alejandro Bancalari 10.6% 8.8% 12.7% 11.7% 9.8% 9.7% 8.4% 8.9% 8.4% 6.9% 4.1%
Nicholas Dragone 7.1% 7.8% 8.1% 8.6% 9.3% 10.1% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 10.3% 8.0%
Andrea Verdeja 5.5% 4.6% 5.8% 6.5% 6.4% 6.7% 8.6% 11.3% 10.3% 15.2% 19.1%
Wesley Yland 5.3% 5.6% 4.6% 8.9% 6.7% 8.2% 8.0% 8.9% 14.0% 13.8% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.