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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+5.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+4.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.71vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.94vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93+5.23vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.44vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.73+1.00vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.28-0.87vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.40-2.76vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.50vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-0.22vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.17-0.75vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.69-3.72vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-4.45vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.20-3.95vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.31-1.64vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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7.31Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University3.1817.2%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.3%1st Place
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11.23University of Miami1.932.8%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island2.785.8%1st Place
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9.0Webb Institute1.734.5%1st Place
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8.13Tulane University2.285.9%1st Place
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7.24Georgetown University2.407.4%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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11.78George Washington University1.442.2%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College1.172.5%1st Place
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10.28Florida State University1.693.8%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University1.594.8%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
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15.36University of Wisconsin0.310.9%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Peter Foley | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 49.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.