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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+3.81vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.81+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.81+3.53vs Predicted
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4Williams College1.47+3.39vs Predicted
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5Amherst College2.01+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.51-1.41vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University1.49-0.03vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12-2.60vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.85-2.74vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University1.35-2.64vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.39-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.75Maine Maritime Academy2.810.2%1st Place
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6.53University of New Hampshire1.810.1%1st Place
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7.39Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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5.78Amherst College2.010.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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6.97Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.26Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.36Brandeis University1.350.1%1st Place
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7.16McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 10.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Poole | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Neal Drake | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 18.5% |
| Tyler Black | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Sean Andrew | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Molly Haley | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 10.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.1% |
| Wesley Yland | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.