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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Andrew 12.0% 14.8% 12.8% 13.2% 11.7% 11.3% 8.8% 6.9% 4.5% 2.7% 1.3%
Neal Drake 7.0% 8.0% 7.8% 8.0% 10.0% 10.0% 9.7% 10.2% 11.4% 10.7% 7.2%
Alejandro Bancalari 9.4% 8.2% 10.5% 9.8% 10.5% 9.5% 11.3% 9.3% 8.7% 7.8% 5.0%
Tommy Holmberg 12.1% 11.8% 12.6% 11.8% 11.4% 12.1% 9.7% 6.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.9%
Tyler Black 10.2% 9.5% 8.6% 9.0% 10.1% 9.2% 9.4% 10.2% 8.5% 9.0% 6.3%
Christopher Poole 19.6% 17.2% 14.9% 13.3% 9.6% 7.4% 6.6% 4.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Molly Haley 6.7% 5.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 8.5% 9.7% 9.9% 11.9% 12.7% 14.7%
Andrea Verdeja 4.9% 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 14.9% 20.2%
Timothy Lorenzen 5.0% 6.1% 4.7% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 11.4% 12.5% 13.7% 17.6%
Nicholas Dragone 8.1% 9.4% 8.6% 7.9% 9.6% 8.8% 9.3% 11.0% 10.7% 9.1% 7.5%
Wesley Yland 5.0% 4.9% 7.2% 8.0% 4.9% 7.9% 8.9% 10.2% 11.3% 14.0% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.