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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.51+3.58vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.81+4.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12+2.71vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43+0.86vs Predicted
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5Amherst College2.01+0.80vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy2.81-2.09vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University1.49-0.05vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University1.35-0.64vs Predicted
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9Williams College1.47-1.72vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.85-3.92vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.39-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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6.27University of New Hampshire1.810.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.86Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.8Amherst College2.010.1%1st Place
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3.91Maine Maritime Academy2.810.2%1st Place
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6.95Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.36Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.28Williams College1.470.1%1st Place
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6.08Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.21McGill University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Andrew | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Neal Drake | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Black | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Christopher Poole | 19.6% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Molly Haley | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.7% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 20.2% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 17.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Wesley Yland | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.