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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.49vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.11vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.58vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.71vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.28+3.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+4.17vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.20+3.90vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69+1.24vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-2.55vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-0.52vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-4.75vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-1.18vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.31+0.45vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.17-3.74vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-5.89vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.73-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.0%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.2%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University3.1817.4%1st Place
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8.23Tulane University2.286.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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11.17University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College1.202.6%1st Place
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10.24Florida State University1.694.0%1st Place
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7.45Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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10.48Old Dominion University1.594.2%1st Place
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7.25Georgetown University2.407.6%1st Place
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11.82George Washington University1.442.5%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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15.45University of Wisconsin0.310.8%1st Place
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12.26Eckerd College1.172.9%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.5%1st Place
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8.8Webb Institute1.735.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 8.9% |
| Peter Foley | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 49.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.