Race 2A

saisa-south-points

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Telmo Basterra 30.6% 23.6% 18.7% 13.8% 7.9% 4.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 15.3% 21.4% 19.4% 14.0% 12.2% 10.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6%
Paula Resto 19.0% 15.5% 17.4% 16.4% 13.7% 10.2% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Scott Hansen 11.9% 14.1% 12.2% 17.9% 14.7% 14.1% 9.4% 4.1% 1.6%
Kurban Ali 3.8% 5.5% 7.2% 8.6% 11.9% 11.1% 16.9% 20.6% 14.4%
Joseph Ricca 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 5.0% 4.9% 7.9% 12.9% 22.6% 40.1%
Nick Baker 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 6.4% 8.8% 16.0% 24.0% 33.4%
Kyle Runnfeldt 8.4% 8.7% 10.5% 10.7% 14.5% 17.1% 14.9% 10.5% 4.7%
Ainsley Parramore 6.6% 6.5% 8.9% 10.4% 13.8% 16.5% 18.2% 14.3% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.