Race 3A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Telmo Basterra 32.0% 22.8% 18.9% 12.6% 7.5% 4.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Paula Resto 13.5% 18.4% 18.7% 17.1% 13.6% 10.0% 5.5% 2.3% 0.9%
Ian Willoughby 20.1% 18.8% 16.7% 16.6% 13.3% 9.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Kurban Ali 4.0% 4.8% 5.9% 8.6% 9.5% 16.0% 17.9% 19.4% 13.9%
Scott Hansen 11.6% 14.9% 15.8% 14.2% 14.8% 11.6% 9.7% 5.7% 1.7%
Ainsley Parramore 5.9% 7.1% 9.1% 10.6% 14.1% 17.2% 16.4% 13.6% 6.0%
Nick Baker 2.4% 3.3% 2.0% 3.4% 6.4% 8.5% 15.3% 25.6% 33.1%
Joseph Ricca 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 5.7% 7.6% 14.3% 21.8% 39.9%
Kyle Runnfeldt 8.4% 7.8% 9.7% 13.6% 15.1% 15.9% 15.5% 9.8% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.