← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.86+2.59vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.46+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.59-0.55vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.99-0.71vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.40+1.12vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College0.85-0.60vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College-0.15+0.19vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.29-0.62vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.04-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.59Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
-
4.5Jacksonville University1.460.1%1st Place
-
2.45Jacksonville University2.590.3%1st Place
-
3.29Eckerd College1.990.2%1st Place
-
6.12Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.4Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
-
7.19Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
7.38University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
-
5.06University of South Florida1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Resto | 16.5% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Hansen | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Chase Burwell | 33.8% | 25.2% | 18.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 20.3% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kurban Ali | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 15.3% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Nick Baker | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 24.9% | 33.4% |
| Joseph Ricca | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 23.4% | 39.7% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.