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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College2.01+4.08vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.43+2.22vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.81+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut2.51-0.02vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.85+0.46vs Predicted
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6Williams College1.47+0.34vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.39-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.81-2.48vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.49-2.68vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.59-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Amherst College2.010.1%1st Place
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4.22Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.45Maine Maritime Academy2.810.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Connecticut2.510.2%1st Place
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5.46Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.34Williams College1.470.1%1st Place
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6.54McGill University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.52University of New Hampshire1.810.1%1st Place
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6.32Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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8.1Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Black | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 14.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Poole | 21.9% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Andrew | 16.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 11.8% |
| Wesley Yland | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% |
| Neal Drake | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Molly Haley | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% |
| Jacob Hardy | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.