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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.34vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+5.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.61vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.45vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.69+3.41vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.28-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93+1.98vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.17+2.31vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.73-2.12vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-0.20vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.15vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.38-7.45vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-7.55vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.31-1.75vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.20-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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4.61Harvard University3.1816.6%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.5%1st Place
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10.41Florida State University1.694.0%1st Place
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7.97Tulane University2.285.8%1st Place
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10.98University of Miami1.934.0%1st Place
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12.31Eckerd College1.172.3%1st Place
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8.88Webb Institute1.735.0%1st Place
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11.8George Washington University1.442.7%1st Place
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10.57Old Dominion University1.593.4%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.1%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.388.3%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University2.206.2%1st Place
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15.25University of Wisconsin0.310.9%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College1.202.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Foley | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 46.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.