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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.86+2.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.59+0.30vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.99+0.08vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.15+2.40vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.40+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.29+0.53vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85-2.02vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.46-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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2.3Jacksonville University2.590.4%1st Place
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3.08Eckerd College1.990.2%1st Place
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6.4Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.63Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
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4.98Eckerd College0.850.1%1st Place
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3.81Jacksonville University1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Resto | 16.8% | 21.5% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Chase Burwell | 35.5% | 27.7% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 20.8% | 20.1% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nick Baker | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 26.1% | 33.6% |
| Kurban Ali | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 15.4% |
| Joseph Ricca | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 39.9% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 8.5% |
| Scott Hansen | 12.7% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.