Race 3B

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Scotti 12.3% 13.7% 12.8% 14.5% 16.0% 13.0% 11.3% 6.1% 0.3%
Connor Ratcliff 22.1% 25.3% 19.4% 13.5% 9.1% 5.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Samuel Baker 27.6% 19.6% 18.4% 15.2% 9.4% 7.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Ian Hunter 9.7% 10.5% 13.8% 13.7% 15.8% 15.8% 12.0% 7.1% 1.6%
Kelsy Waack 7.7% 11.2% 11.0% 12.8% 13.6% 14.7% 14.6% 9.7% 4.7%
Hannah Sellers 3.1% 3.4% 5.1% 6.5% 8.8% 10.6% 18.0% 28.4% 16.1%
Charlotte Samson 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 7.8% 7.8% 15.5% 19.7% 23.4% 13.2%
Margaret MacCormack 12.5% 10.8% 12.8% 13.6% 16.0% 14.3% 11.4% 7.0% 1.6%
Samantha Capozzi 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 7.5% 16.3% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.