Race 4B

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Connor Ratcliff 27.2% 22.1% 17.9% 15.0% 8.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Samuel Baker 22.8% 23.2% 17.9% 15.5% 9.9% 4.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Kelsy Waack 6.9% 8.4% 11.6% 11.2% 13.5% 15.9% 16.9% 12.6% 3.0%
Andrew Scotti 12.7% 13.9% 14.6% 15.6% 13.6% 13.7% 10.2% 4.6% 1.1%
Charlotte Samson 4.0% 5.1% 6.5% 8.1% 11.9% 11.9% 17.3% 21.0% 14.2%
Ian Hunter 9.9% 9.9% 13.5% 13.4% 16.0% 17.2% 11.5% 7.4% 1.2%
Hannah Sellers 3.5% 4.0% 3.5% 6.1% 8.3% 10.9% 19.2% 27.9% 16.6%
Margaret MacCormack 11.8% 11.6% 12.5% 13.6% 15.0% 14.8% 12.1% 6.9% 1.7%
Samantha Capozzi 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 2.9% 4.8% 6.1% 17.7% 62.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.