← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
David Perez 15.9% 19.4% 17.2% 17.6% 12.8% 9.5% 6.5% 1.1%
Andrew Scotti 13.9% 15.1% 15.8% 16.5% 14.7% 14.2% 8.5% 1.3%
Ian Hunter 11.8% 12.2% 14.6% 14.8% 16.6% 16.1% 10.8% 3.1%
Hannah Sellers 3.6% 4.5% 5.7% 7.1% 9.9% 15.6% 33.2% 20.4%
Kelsy Waack 7.5% 11.6% 12.2% 12.0% 16.4% 20.1% 15.1% 5.1%
Samantha Capozzi 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 4.1% 6.6% 16.5% 65.7%
Connor Ratcliff 32.1% 22.1% 17.1% 12.9% 9.3% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Margaret MacCormack 13.7% 13.7% 15.3% 17.0% 16.2% 13.2% 8.0% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.