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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.34+1.86vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.15+1.19vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.09+1.97vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.93-0.36vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.99+1.20vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17-4.33vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.25-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Miami1.340.1%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.97Florida State University0.090.0%1st Place
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4.64Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.2Rollins College-0.990.0%1st Place
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2.67Eckerd College2.170.3%1st Place
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3.94Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 15.9% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Scotti | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Ian Hunter | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Sellers | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 33.2% | 20.4% |
| Kelsy Waack | 7.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 5.1% |
| Samantha Capozzi | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 16.5% | 65.7% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 32.1% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 13.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.