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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.93+10.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.74vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+4.43vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.42vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.17vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.28+0.17vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.20+3.05vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59+0.61vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.58vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-0.47vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.94vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.17-1.75vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.31+0.43vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.73-7.14vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.20-8.81vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.69-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.03University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University3.1815.7%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.8%1st Place
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8.17Tulane University2.286.5%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
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10.61Old Dominion University1.594.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.4%1st Place
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11.53George Washington University1.442.9%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.4%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College1.172.8%1st Place
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15.43University of Wisconsin0.310.8%1st Place
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8.86Webb Institute1.735.5%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.206.5%1st Place
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10.22Florida State University1.694.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 47.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Peter Foley | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.