Race 10A

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Timothy Lorenzen 7.0% 5.9% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 10.0% 13.1% 13.1% 16.2% 11.3%
Sean Andrew 17.5% 14.9% 14.2% 13.8% 13.0% 8.6% 8.0% 6.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Christopher Poole 21.4% 20.0% 14.8% 14.7% 11.8% 6.9% 6.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Neal Drake 7.5% 8.2% 10.6% 11.0% 10.3% 11.4% 11.9% 13.5% 9.8% 5.8%
Tyler Black 10.2% 11.2% 10.9% 10.1% 12.1% 13.0% 11.8% 7.7% 9.1% 3.9%
Jacob Hardy 3.1% 3.3% 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 5.8% 10.8% 16.6% 44.3%
Molly Haley 4.7% 6.1% 7.3% 7.7% 9.4% 12.5% 10.2% 15.3% 14.7% 12.1%
Nicholas Dragone 8.0% 10.5% 9.8% 9.7% 10.5% 12.5% 12.3% 11.1% 9.9% 5.7%
Tommy Holmberg 15.6% 13.8% 15.6% 13.6% 11.6% 10.8% 9.9% 4.3% 3.3% 1.5%
Wesley Yland 5.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 11.0% 15.0% 16.1% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.