← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of British Columbia-0.21+2.96vs Predicted
-
2University of British Columbia0.27+1.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.95-0.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria-0.38+0.13vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-0.42-0.68vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.37-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96University of British Columbia-0.210.1%1st Place
-
3.2University of British Columbia0.270.2%1st Place
-
2.29University of Washington0.950.4%1st Place
-
4.13University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
-
4.32University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
-
3.1Western Washington University0.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenny Dinwoodie | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 22.3% |
| Richard Minielly | 18.2% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 35.7% | 27.0% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Clark | 9.7% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 26.6% |
| Steven Dieleman | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 33.7% |
| Chandler Sharp | 20.0% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.