Race 11A

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sean Andrew 18.3% 15.7% 14.7% 12.6% 11.8% 10.4% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.2%
Neal Drake 8.5% 7.7% 9.7% 10.2% 10.7% 11.9% 10.6% 13.1% 10.9% 6.7%
Christopher Poole 21.4% 18.9% 15.9% 13.4% 13.3% 6.9% 5.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Nicholas Dragone 7.5% 9.1% 10.0% 10.1% 11.6% 14.0% 11.3% 11.2% 10.2% 5.0%
Wesley Yland 6.3% 7.1% 6.0% 7.0% 7.9% 9.5% 11.1% 14.5% 17.4% 13.2%
Tyler Black 12.2% 9.0% 10.3% 12.4% 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 10.2% 6.7% 4.2%
Tommy Holmberg 12.5% 16.7% 16.0% 13.0% 12.7% 10.2% 9.0% 6.2% 2.6% 1.1%
Timothy Lorenzen 5.6% 6.5% 7.2% 8.5% 8.4% 10.7% 12.4% 13.4% 14.9% 12.4%
Jacob Hardy 2.6% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.8% 4.8% 9.5% 9.4% 16.3% 44.6%
Molly Haley 5.1% 7.0% 6.9% 9.4% 7.8% 10.1% 11.9% 14.3% 16.3% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.