Race 1B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John McGlynn 16.7% 16.6% 15.3% 16.3% 13.4% 10.5% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
John Giuliano 15.5% 17.3% 15.9% 13.8% 12.8% 8.8% 8.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.2%
David Pierce 10.4% 9.6% 13.2% 13.4% 12.0% 12.6% 11.5% 9.9% 5.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Justin Marks 6.1% 6.1% 7.6% 9.1% 9.6% 12.4% 16.0% 13.0% 10.4% 7.2% 2.5%
Cameron Fraser 25.9% 20.5% 17.1% 11.7% 9.6% 6.7% 5.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
John Joseph 10.2% 13.4% 10.7% 12.7% 12.7% 13.1% 9.3% 9.1% 5.2% 3.1% 0.5%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.0% 6.7% 6.7% 8.5% 10.0% 11.6% 12.7% 14.3% 12.7% 8.3% 2.5%
Emerson Krock 3.4% 4.4% 4.6% 5.7% 7.6% 9.0% 11.2% 12.5% 17.1% 16.8% 7.7%
Stephanie Dowling 3.2% 3.2% 4.8% 4.2% 6.2% 6.9% 9.8% 15.6% 19.0% 16.7% 10.4%
Joshua Revkin 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.9% 5.8% 8.9% 13.2% 24.6% 31.6%
Josh Basseches 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 6.1% 12.8% 20.4% 44.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.