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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.20+10.92vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.28+6.09vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+2.26vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.40-1.77vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69+0.17vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.17+1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.92vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.71-3.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.64vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.44-4.50vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.31-1.54vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.92Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
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8.09Tulane University2.286.6%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
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4.65Harvard University3.1817.2%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.387.2%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University2.387.5%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University1.594.0%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University2.407.8%1st Place
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10.17Florida State University1.694.0%1st Place
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12.22Eckerd College1.172.8%1st Place
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11.18University of Miami1.932.4%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.0%1st Place
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10.63Webb Institute1.713.4%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.5%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University1.443.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Wisconsin0.311.0%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 14.9% | 48.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.