Race 2B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John McGlynn 14.9% 18.4% 17.5% 14.9% 12.6% 10.3% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Justin Marks 6.8% 6.2% 8.9% 9.2% 10.2% 13.8% 13.2% 12.4% 12.1% 5.4% 1.8%
David Pierce 10.7% 10.6% 12.1% 13.3% 12.3% 12.4% 11.9% 9.1% 5.5% 2.1% 0.0%
John Giuliano 15.2% 14.6% 14.3% 16.4% 13.0% 10.4% 7.5% 5.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Jack Kerby-Miller 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 10.7% 13.6% 14.3% 12.6% 9.8% 2.9%
John Joseph 10.8% 11.9% 10.5% 13.1% 13.9% 12.1% 10.7% 7.0% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5%
Cameron Fraser 27.0% 21.8% 17.2% 11.4% 9.9% 6.7% 3.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 11.3% 14.5% 15.5% 17.7% 10.1%
Emerson Krock 3.0% 4.7% 4.6% 3.6% 6.3% 7.5% 12.8% 15.0% 17.9% 15.8% 8.8%
Joshua Revkin 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.1% 3.0% 3.9% 5.5% 10.2% 13.5% 24.2% 31.5%
Josh Basseches 1.2% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 3.6% 3.7% 4.1% 6.9% 11.6% 20.9% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.