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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+5.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+4.22vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+4.66vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.12vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.28vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+0.67vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-0.28vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.16+4.80vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23+0.09vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-4.71vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.53vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-1.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-8.64vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-4.63vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.17vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.66George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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14.8Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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12.37Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Mary Berg | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 36.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.9% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.