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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.33vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+4.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.93vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+3.67vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+0.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-0.54vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+0.62vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-0.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.47vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-2.28vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51-1.43vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.16-1.24vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.15vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.67George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.64Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.37Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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14.76Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.85Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 20.1% |
| Mary Berg | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 35.1% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.