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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+5.13vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+6.96vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+5.44vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+1.53vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.20+4.86vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.280.00vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44+2.65vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93+0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.31+4.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.58vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.18-8.38vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.01vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-7.64vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-5.57vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-6.72vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.17-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.1%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University2.408.2%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.4%1st Place
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10.44Webb Institute1.713.8%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College1.202.1%1st Place
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8.0Tulane University2.286.3%1st Place
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11.65George Washington University1.443.4%1st Place
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10.96University of Miami1.933.2%1st Place
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15.33University of Wisconsin0.310.9%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University3.1816.9%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.3%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University1.593.9%1st Place
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10.28Florida State University1.693.5%1st Place
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12.17Eckerd College1.172.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 46.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Peter Foley | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.