Race 3B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cameron Fraser 23.0% 19.7% 17.0% 15.6% 11.3% 6.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Giuliano 15.6% 17.0% 14.7% 14.9% 12.2% 10.4% 7.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Justin Marks 6.0% 6.3% 8.1% 8.9% 9.4% 12.5% 13.7% 13.7% 12.0% 7.6% 1.8%
David Pierce 10.8% 10.2% 13.1% 12.2% 11.6% 14.4% 12.1% 8.8% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3%
John McGlynn 19.3% 17.4% 15.5% 13.3% 12.1% 9.1% 7.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
John Joseph 9.9% 12.8% 11.8% 12.1% 13.8% 12.1% 10.8% 8.3% 5.2% 2.9% 0.3%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.3% 5.7% 7.2% 8.0% 9.8% 11.7% 13.5% 13.5% 13.7% 7.4% 3.2%
Emerson Krock 3.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 7.3% 9.6% 11.2% 14.3% 15.6% 16.2% 8.6%
Joshua Revkin 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 3.3% 3.0% 5.6% 8.3% 14.2% 26.1% 31.9%
Josh Basseches 0.6% 1.6% 1.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.7% 5.1% 7.1% 11.2% 21.3% 44.6%
Stephanie Dowling 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.9% 7.6% 10.1% 14.6% 19.1% 15.5% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.