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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+7.94vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+8.37vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.94vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+2.69vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77+5.70vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-1.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+1.84vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.37-3.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-4.41vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.10vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-6.09vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.51-0.75vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-3.79vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-7.17vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-5.16vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.16-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.7Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.41Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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6.91Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.84Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.53Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 19.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Mary Berg | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.