← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.50vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.37+4.49vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.33+3.72vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.20+2.92vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.09vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.76+2.70vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.35-0.56vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.20-1.07vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.04+2.65vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College1.77+2.89vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.23+0.03vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.77-2.92vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin1.51+0.47vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.14-2.97vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.95vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.76-7.14vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University1.16-2.28vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
6.49College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
6.72Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
6.92Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.7George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.44Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.93Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.65Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
12.89Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.03Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.08Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
13.47University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
-
11.03Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.05University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
8.86Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
-
14.72Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
-
10.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Mary Berg | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 36.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.