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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+2.93vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+4.60vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+1.76vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+1.87vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+1.92vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-4.40vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-0.42vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.76-4.38vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.21vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.16-0.42vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-7.21vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-4.19vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.93Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.76Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.92Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.6Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.58Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.62George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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14.58Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.81Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Mary Berg | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 32.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.