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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+3.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+4.61vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+3.69vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.32vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+1.74vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.39vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.27vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-0.01vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-6.07vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-3.40vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51-1.47vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-4.60vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.16-2.26vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.77-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.47College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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11.99Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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14.74Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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12.51Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Grace Howie | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 18.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Mary Berg | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 36.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.