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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+3.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.76vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+3.77vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+1.82vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.25+1.14vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91+1.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55+2.07vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73+0.28vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.44+2.10vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.61vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-6.46vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-2.72vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-8.02vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.48-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.22Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.77Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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10.54Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.07Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.28Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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15.1University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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13.28Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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15.04Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.5% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marley Mais | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Carina Becker | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Cailin Considine | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 37.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 12.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.