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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.16vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+7.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.72vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.09vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.42vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+0.72vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.44+5.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.55+1.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-3.12vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.73-2.01vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-1.03vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.91-4.57vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.25-6.74vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-8.00vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.48-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.16Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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10.02Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.72George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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12.01Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.97Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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15.06Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.9% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 21.7% | 37.1% |
| Carina Becker | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% |
| Talia Toland | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 10.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Marley Mais | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.