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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+5.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.08vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+6.05vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.46vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+2.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.72vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.25+0.17vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35-1.02vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.55+0.93vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-4.62vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-5.45vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.91-4.63vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-2.77vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.05-0.98vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.48-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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4.2Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.97Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.05Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.93Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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13.23Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.02University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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14.89Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Marley Mais | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Carina Becker | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Talia Toland | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 9.4% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 18.4% | 50.3% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 23.8% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.