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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+4.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+1.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+3.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+5.02vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+2.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.61vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.15+4.07vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.52vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35-3.01vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.38vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.73vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.55-3.37vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.25-6.88vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.48-1.91vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.05-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.14College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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4.2Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.0Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.99Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.99George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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11.63Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.12Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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15.09Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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15.78University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 8.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Carina Becker | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Marley Mais | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 24.4% | 29.4% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.