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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+0.78vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.85+0.77vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University0.54+0.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.85vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07-2.11vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University-0.33-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy1.1817.0%1st Place
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2.78Georgetown University1.8628.0%1st Place
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3.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8514.6%1st Place
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4.22Georgetown University0.5410.3%1st Place
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6711.5%1st Place
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3.89George Washington University1.0713.7%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University-0.334.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 17.0% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 28.0% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Maisy Sperry | 14.6% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
| Alexa Shea | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 13.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 11.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.3% |
| Petra Humphrey | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.