Race 4B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Giuliano 13.1% 16.5% 15.9% 13.7% 15.0% 11.8% 7.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
John McGlynn 17.9% 17.9% 15.9% 14.7% 13.0% 8.1% 6.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Justin Marks 5.9% 6.0% 8.3% 8.9% 9.7% 12.3% 12.8% 15.9% 11.2% 6.7% 2.3%
Jack Kerby-Miller 4.9% 4.4% 7.1% 6.7% 9.3% 11.4% 13.4% 15.5% 14.9% 8.4% 4.0%
David Pierce 11.6% 11.8% 12.3% 14.1% 11.5% 12.7% 10.9% 7.0% 5.3% 2.6% 0.2%
John Joseph 10.4% 12.1% 11.3% 12.0% 13.9% 13.5% 11.1% 7.1% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Cameron Fraser 26.8% 21.7% 16.4% 13.6% 8.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 3.7% 2.8% 4.5% 5.3% 6.7% 8.0% 11.4% 15.1% 16.1% 18.2% 8.2%
Joshua Revkin 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 4.1% 6.2% 8.2% 13.9% 22.5% 34.6%
Emerson Krock 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 6.5% 7.6% 7.9% 12.2% 14.0% 17.5% 15.4% 7.4%
Josh Basseches 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 6.8% 10.8% 23.1% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.