← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.98vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.49vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.38+4.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.93+7.15vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.44+6.65vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.18-1.40vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.59+2.44vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.38-1.59vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.63vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.40-3.94vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University1.69-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Webb Institute1.71-2.48vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.20-2.10vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-4.11vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.28-7.99vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College1.17-4.76vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin0.31-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.5%1st Place
-
8.49University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
-
7.45Dartmouth College2.388.6%1st Place
-
11.15University of Miami1.933.0%1st Place
-
11.65George Washington University1.443.1%1st Place
-
4.6Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
-
7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.7%1st Place
-
10.44Old Dominion University1.593.5%1st Place
-
7.41Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
-
8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
-
7.06Georgetown University2.408.5%1st Place
-
10.19Florida State University1.692.8%1st Place
-
10.52Webb Institute1.714.0%1st Place
-
11.9Connecticut College1.202.4%1st Place
-
10.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.5%1st Place
-
8.01Tulane University2.287.6%1st Place
-
12.24Eckerd College1.172.6%1st Place
-
15.27University of Wisconsin0.310.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Foley | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 9.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.