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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+3.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+6.81vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+1.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.02vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.25+3.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-2.90vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51+3.82vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+0.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-3.17vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-4.44vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.73-3.19vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44-0.78vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.55-5.16vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.48-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.89Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.11Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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4.1Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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11.82Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.56George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.81Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.11Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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15.22University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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14.97Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Paris Henken | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.7% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Mais | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.9% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 35.5% |
| Carina Becker | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.