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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+5.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.54vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+5.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.59vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+5.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15-0.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+1.49vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-4.91vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+2.04vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.25-1.73vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11-1.99vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.55-1.44vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-9.07vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.48+0.06vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44-0.76vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-3.73vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.79Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.09Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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12.04Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.27Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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10.01Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.56Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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4.93Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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15.06Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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13.27Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.4% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Marley Mais | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Carina Becker | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 33.4% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 36.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 12.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.