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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+4.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+2.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+5.63vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+5.44vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.25vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.04+3.81vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-1.25vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+0.59vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.35vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+1.99vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.55+0.75vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-0.74vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.47vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.79vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.05+0.91vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.09-10.00vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.48-1.96vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.16Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.44Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.81Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.75Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.99Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.26Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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6.0College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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15.04Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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12.83Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.7% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Macey McCann | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.4% |
| Carina Becker | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 46.8% |
| Paris Henken | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 22.9% | 30.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.