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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+4.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+4.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+5.85vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+5.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+0.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-1.92vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.18vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.15+4.05vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55+1.84vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.30vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.04-1.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.48vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.05+0.91vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-7.55vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.48-1.97vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.73-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.1College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.85George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.42Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.69Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.08Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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13.05Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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10.12Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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11.47Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Wisconsin0.050.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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15.03Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 20.1% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 7.5% |
| Carina Becker | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Macey McCann | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 46.8% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 24.5% | 29.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.