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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.47vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.91vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+1.90vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+3.43vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.51+5.89vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.48+8.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-3.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73+2.06vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-0.22vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-2.28vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.04-1.78vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.64vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.43vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44-0.83vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.55-5.18vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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5.91Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.9College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.89Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.0Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.78Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.72George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.22Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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15.17University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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11.82Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.95Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 34.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Macey McCann | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 36.0% |
| Carina Becker | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.