← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.15+5.01vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.72+2.15vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.09+3.10vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.27vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.55+5.73vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.35+1.68vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.40+0.43vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.54vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.11-0.17vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University0.48+4.05vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.01vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.73-2.12vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.51-2.47vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.38-10.05vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.44-0.79vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.04-6.97vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.15-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.01Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
4.15Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
6.1College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
-
8.27University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
11.73Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
8.68George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
8.43Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.83Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
15.05Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
-
8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.88Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.53Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
4.95Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
15.21University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
-
10.03Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
-
12.98Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carina Becker | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Talia Toland | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 21.0% | 33.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 21.5% | 34.3% |
| Macey McCann | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.