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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+6.47vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.64vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+6.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+3.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.20+3.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-1.26vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.75-0.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.86vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64+0.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.48-3.46vs Predicted
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12Bentley University1.03+0.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.68vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.02vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University2.200.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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6.75Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.37Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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12.98Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Housberg | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Julien Guiot | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 26.5% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 32.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.