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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+8.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+5.48vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+3.62vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.47+3.79vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+3.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.82vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+4.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.20+0.44vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-2.08vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-6.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-5.83vs Predicted
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14Bentley University1.03-1.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.36Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.44Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.94Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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12.32Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 14.9% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 34.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 23.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 12.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.