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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+8.98vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+5.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.47+3.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-0.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+2.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.22vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+1.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.48-1.52vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.75-3.35vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.20-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-6.52vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-2.51vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-2.73vs Predicted
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15Bentley University1.03-2.42vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.57Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.58Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.97Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caelan Juckniess | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Julien Guiot | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 26.7% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.