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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.74+7.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+8.18vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.58+11.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.76vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59+0.28vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+1.83vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59+1.43vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86-0.46vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-5.18vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.78-2.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-5.50vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-6.59vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.02-6.04vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.79vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.96-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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14.62Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.83Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.43Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.82Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.5Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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14.21Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Peck | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 6.8% | 25.3% | 53.6% |
| Emily Haig | 18.1% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Walden | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Joey Lark | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 34.2% | 38.1% |
| Austen Freda | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.