Race 5B

underdog

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
David Pierce 9.5% 11.1% 12.8% 13.9% 14.1% 13.5% 11.3% 6.7% 4.8% 1.9% 0.4%
John Giuliano 15.4% 17.1% 15.9% 13.0% 13.1% 9.1% 9.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
John McGlynn 15.7% 17.3% 16.2% 14.0% 12.0% 10.3% 7.4% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
John Joseph 10.3% 11.1% 10.6% 12.5% 13.1% 14.1% 10.6% 8.9% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8%
Cameron Fraser 25.8% 20.2% 16.8% 13.9% 9.4% 5.8% 5.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Revkin 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.9% 2.4% 3.6% 6.4% 8.8% 13.8% 24.6% 32.0%
Justin Marks 7.8% 7.3% 8.3% 9.6% 11.2% 11.1% 14.2% 12.8% 10.9% 4.6% 2.2%
Stephanie Dowling 3.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.5% 6.6% 8.9% 10.2% 13.7% 18.1% 17.6% 8.7%
Emerson Krock 3.3% 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 7.0% 7.6% 10.4% 15.2% 17.7% 17.5% 8.6%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.5% 5.6% 7.6% 8.6% 8.2% 12.4% 11.6% 14.1% 14.1% 8.6% 2.7%
Josh Basseches 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 8.0% 10.7% 21.5% 44.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.