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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.54vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.81vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.28+4.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+3.19vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.39vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.69+4.29vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.44+4.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.52vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-1.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.18-5.37vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.71-0.68vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.31+2.37vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.20-2.06vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-3.85vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-5.57vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-6.10vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.17-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54University of Rhode Island2.786.1%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.8%1st Place
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7.91Tulane University2.287.0%1st Place
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7.19Georgetown University2.408.4%1st Place
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7.39Cornell University2.388.1%1st Place
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10.29Florida State University1.694.2%1st Place
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11.49George Washington University1.442.5%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.387.3%1st Place
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4.63Harvard University3.1815.8%1st Place
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10.32Webb Institute1.714.3%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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15.37University of Wisconsin0.310.4%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College1.202.9%1st Place
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11.15University of Miami1.932.6%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University1.594.0%1st Place
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10.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.5%1st Place
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12.04Eckerd College1.172.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 49.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.