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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+6.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+8.16vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.02+5.05vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+3.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-2.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59+1.42vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-2.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.74-2.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-5.78vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-4.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.96-5.84vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.58-0.31vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.59Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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4.94Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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9.42Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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14.69Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.25Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 18.9% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 15.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Nate Peck | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Walden | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Austen Freda | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 24.6% | 55.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 34.4% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.