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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.96+7.11vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.02+6.01vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+3.42vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.82+4.92vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+5.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.74+2.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59-1.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.78vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-1.32vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-4.58vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.59-2.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.78-4.12vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.58+0.63vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.82vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.02-11.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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6.42Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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6.08Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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14.63Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.84Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Freda | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 2.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nate Peck | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 18.7% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 24.9% | 53.1% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 34.8% | 38.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.